Tyrod Taylor is now the Houston Texans beginning QB. Deserve to he assist the struggling franchise uncover some sembleance of success in 2021?


With Deshaun Watson i can not qualify to play for the Houston Texans following season, the starting QB responsibilities fall to Tyrod Taylor. At 32 year old, what deserve to the veteran administer to his new team?

Looking earlier at Tyrod Taylor’s last significant stint together a beginning quarterback

Tyrod Taylor has been in the NFL because that 10 seasons now. In plenty of ways, the is an superior feat top top its own. Most players don’t last that long. However, Taylor’s only abundant years came during his three seasons with the Buffalo Bills.

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You have the right to see his statistics native those years in the chart below.

Passing YardsPassing TouchdownsInterceptionsRushing YardsRushing Touchdowns
20153,0352065684
20163,0231765806
20172,7991444274

Those room decent numbers, yet they aren’t exactly the statistics the a truly elite quarterback. Taylor didn’t necessarily lose his team games, but the offenses he led throughout those periods weren’t exactly setup the NFL top top fire.

They perform decently well during Taylor’s very first two seasons, ranking 13th and 16th in state of total yardage, yet 2017 to be a complete disaster. The Bills offense ranked 29th in that group during Taylor’s final season together their starter.

It’s not hard to watch why Buffalo made decision to move on native Taylor after the year, and also why he has actually largely been relegated to backup status in the years since.

Now, many thanks to Watson’s significant legal troubles, he finally has an additional chance.

Tyrod Taylor’s progressed metrics were subpar

To much better understand exactly how Taylor’s performance in Buffalo might use to his new job together the Texans beginning QB, let’s revolve to the Offensive worth Metric (OVM).

The OVM is a grading system created by the (Bx) movement to evaluate players based on how lot they influenced the statistics castle produced, quite than the statistics themselves.

The OVM database just goes earlier to 2016, so us can’t study Taylor’s most fertile season. However, us do have actually data indigenous his other seasons in Buffalo, and the numbers aren’t particularly encouraging.

In 2016, Taylor earned a class of 24.43, the eleventh-lowest obtained by any type of qualifying quarterback that season. The following year, his grade plummeted to 17.11, the fifth-lowest grade.

Those qualities indicate that, even back when he to be playing far-ranging minutes, Taylor was one of the NFL’s lowest-impact quarterbacks.

And while the is possible that Taylor’s grade indigenous 2015 would have actually been higher, that is by no means a certainty.

Examining Tyrod Taylor’s weekly statistics

For a more in-depth examination of Taylor’s OVM grades, let’s look at exactly how he performed from every week the the 2016 and also 2017 seasons. The charts listed below show Taylor’s weekly grades from those years, significant by the black dots.

For comparison, the league average regular-season grades for quarterbacks indigenous those seasons are represented by the yellow lines.

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As you deserve to see, Taylor was inconsistent in both seasons, wildly for this reason in 2017. Most of his grades came in below the organization average, often by a significant margin.

The most exciting grade come at the finish of 2017. That video game was notable for several reasons. First, it to be the just playoff game of Taylor’s career, a Wild map matchup versus the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The outcomes were much from what he would have actually hoped. Taylor threw for 134 yards, one interception, and no touchdowns. The also included just 27 yards on the ground.

Additionally, he had one of the least efficient quarterback performances ~ above record, receiving one OVM class of -6, the seventh-lowest earn by any quarterback due to the fact that 2016. In other words, Taylor’s play proactively detracted native the Bills’ success.

In same to Taylor, the 2017 Jaguars fielded one of the finest defensive devices of the 2010s, almost reaching the at sight Bowl despite needing to count on Blake Bortles to score points on the offensive end.

Still, it is an undeniable truth that — top top the biggest stage of his career — Taylor dropped flat on his face.

The advanced metrics behind Tyrod Taylor’s OVM grades

If we want to understand Taylor’s OVM grades, we must examine the progressed metrics associated in calculating them. Because that the many part, Taylor’s statistics were fairly unremarkable, paint him together a reasonably average quarterback.

What hosted Taylor’s grades earlier was his performance in one specific area. The was one of the the very least aggressive quarterbacks in both 2016 and also 2017.

He threw right into tight windows on just 14.2% of his happen attempts in 2016 and also 15.2% in 2017. Those were the 3rd and ninth-lowest percentages in their particular seasons.

Put in much easier terms, the vast bulk of Taylor’s passes were thrown to wide open receivers, lowering his attack impact.

Can Taylor still it is in an effective rushing quarterback?

One allude in Taylor’s favor that I have actually largely collection aside thus much is that, when he to be at his best, that was among the NFL’s most effective rushing quarterbacks.

He rushed for an ext than 400 yards in each of his periods as the Bills’ starting quarterback. However, we haven’t viewed him create at a comparable level in the last 3 seasons.

While the is in large part due to a lack of opportunities, you need to wonder if, at period 32, Taylor still has the foot to with those heights. If that can’t, vital facet that his video game will have disappeared.

Tyrod Taylor is in an impossible case as the Texans QB

Last season, Taylor was basically a stopgap for the Los Angeles Chargers in wait the rookie Justin Herbert.

In 2021, Taylor can be in an also worst position. Although the starting job appears securely his, he needs to discover success as a QB top top a Texans team that has actually an exterior chance to come to be the an initial 0-17 team in NFL history.

Even if Taylor had a history of elite play, that would certainly be a difficult ask. Unfortunately, the data we’ve examined argues that, even throughout his prime, Taylor was much from an upstream passer. Furthermore, his rushing abilities have actually undoubtedly waned at the very least somewhat in the last four years.

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Of course, it’s always possible that will find new life in Houston. Unfortunately, the data doesn’t favor the outcome.