Justin Forsett, Peyton Manning and Brandin Cooks were called by our panelists together either sleepers, busts or breakouts.Getty Images
The difference in between winning and losing her league frequently comes down to a solitary decision on breeze day. It can be acquisition a player whose manufacturing explodes, turning him into one that the elite players in the game. It might be picking a player whom others slept on during the draft yet far gone beyond his preseason value. That could likewise be a player who you intended to depend on but then flopped miserably.

You are watching: Top sleeper running backs 2015

To help you in securing the best impact players and also draft worths -- while staying clear of players who will wreck your roster -- the 2175forals.com Fantasy soccer staff uses its height sleepers, busts and also breakouts as characterized below:

Sleeper: A player that will far surpass his typical draft position (ADP) in typical 2175forals.com leagues for the 2015 season.Bust: A player who is expected to be a hard starter in conventional 2175forals.com leagues yet will fail come live as much as those expectations this season.Breakout: A player who will leap into or close come the top echelon of players at his position for the first time since of a dramatic rise in production compared to his ahead seasons.

See more: Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs, Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule

Our panel is composed of: Matthew Berry, Tom Carpenter, Tristan H. Cockcroft, Ken Daube, Christopher Harris, KC Joyner, Eric Karabell, Keith Lipscomb and Field Yates.

Our writers each detailed one sleeper and also one bust at quarterback, to run back, broad receiver and also tight end, to add one breakout player at any type of position (see graph below). Castle then provided a brief write-up for one sleeper, one bust and their breakout player. Below are the results:

QB sleepers and also busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryTeddy BridgewaterDrew Brees
Tom CarpenterTeddy BridgewaterDrew Brees
Tristan H. CockcroftTeddy BridgewaterBen Roethlisberger
Ken DaubeSam BradfordDrew Brees
Christopher HarrisSam BradfordEli Manning
KC JoynerSam BradfordAndrew Luck
Eric KarabellCam NewtonBen Roethlisberger
Keith LipscombSam BradfordPeyton Manning
Field YatesTeddy BridgewaterRyan Tannehill

RB sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryCharles SimsT.J. Yeldon
Tom CarpenterC.J. SpillerJonathan Stewart
Tristan H. CockcroftJerick McKinnonDeMarco Murray
Ken DaubeDuke JohnsonJonathan Stewart
Christopher HarrisMatt ForteLeGarrette Blount
KC JoynerJustin ForsettCarlos Hyde
Eric KarabellJustin ForsettJonathan Stewart
Keith LipscombJeremy HillMatt Forte
Field YatesMelvin GordonLeSean McCoy

WR sleepers and also busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryNelson AgholorTorrey Smith
Tom CarpenterMartavis BryantBrandon Marshall
Tristan H. CockcroftMarlon BrownBrandon Marshall
Ken DaubePercy HarvinDeSean Jackson
Christopher HarrisBreshad PerrimanMarques Colston
KC JoynerJeremy MaclinEmmanuel Sanders
Eric KarabellAndre JohnsonJeremy Maclin
Keith LipscombAmari CooperJulian Edelman
Field YatesKeenan AllenBrandin Cooks

TE sleepers and busts

PanelistSleeperBust
Matthew BerryKyle RudolphJulius Thomas
Tom CarpenterJordan CameronAntonio Gates
Tristan H. CockcroftAustin Seferian-JenkinsJulius Thomas
Ken DaubeMaxx WilliamsJulius Thomas
Christopher HarrisEric EbronLarry Donnell
KC JoynerLarry DonnellJulius Thomas
Eric KarabellZach ErtzJulius Thomas
Keith LipscombAustin Seferian-JenkinsJulius Thomas
Field YatesJosh HillJulius Thomas

2015 breakouts

PanelistBreakout
Matthew BerryJoseph Randle
Tom CarpenterTodd Gurley
Tristan H. CockcroftSammy Watkins
Ken DaubeJeremy Hill
Christopher HarrisJoseph Randle
KC JoynerTeddy Bridgewater
Eric KarabellBrandin Cooks
Keith LipscombBrandin Cooks
Field YatesJeremy Hill

Sleepers

*

Sam Bradford, QB, Philadelphia Eagles: critical season, the mix of Nick Foles and Mark Sanchez placed 16th in team QB fantasy points. Speak what friend want around Bradford"s fragility, but he"s a much better quarterback than both that the guys he"s replacing. Suppose Bradford to an obstacle for a top-10 QB rank if he can remain healthy. - Ken Daube

*

Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears: No, Forte doesn"t right the model of a classic sleeper, yet some people don"t think Forte is worth a first-round choose anymore. I think that"s crazy: He"s in my overall top five. Come me, the bear look prepared to walk run-heavier, and also even though coach Marc Trestman is gone, it"s not like Forte is suddenly recording fewer 보다 50 passes. I acknowledge that Chicago has line issues, yet it got "em fixed two year ago. It"s hard not to see Forte v 1,500-plus complete yards in "15. - Christopher Harris

*

Justin Forsett, RB, Baltimore Ravens: last year, Forsett led the league in an excellent blocking yards every attempt (GBYPA, a measure of manufacturing on dram with top quality blocking). He"s also a pass-catching earlier in a Marc Trestman violation that turned the end a 100-reception running back (Matt Forte) last season. Forsett does have some competition because that carries, however he"s got the caliber of talent to win that battle and also once again post RB1 figures that will certainly well outpace his mid-to low-end RB2 value. - KC Joyner

*

Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Hill tied because that 12th in fantasy points per game amongst running backs together a rookie regardless of getting seven or under touches in 4 games and also fewer 보다 15 touches in eight games. The Bengals want to operation the football, and also Hill is simply much better equipped to manage the bigger share of the action than Giovani Bernard. If Hill sits just exterior of our top-10 backs, a top-five finish should surprise no one. - Keith Lipscomb

*

Melvin Gordon, RB, san Diego Chargers: Our 2175forals.com Fantasy staff is together optimistic around Gordon as any kind of other rookie because that the 2015 season, but I still think he"s gift undersold. The Chargers" new-look attack line has a chance to be one of the most an effective in football. (Average measurements for projected starters space 6-foot-6 and close to 325 pounds.) Gordon has workhorse running ago written anywhere him, and he creeps near to mine top-10 runners this season. - ar Yates

*

Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: everyone is talking around Amari Cooper and also Kevin White, and I obtain it. Both will certainly be studs. But based on production and what it"ll price to get him on breeze day, Agholor will certainly be the value fantasy rookie broad receiver this year. Once Jeremy Maclin left town, more than 140 targets went v him. Some will be absorbed by Jordan Matthews, currently the unquestioned No. 1, and I do think Chip Kelly wants to operation even more this year. However still. Lotta possessions, fast-paced violation that to be top-five in pass attempts, and also Agholor, that has terrific after-the-catch speed, is a perfect fit for this offense. Also in his favor: He"s not Riley Cooper. - Matthew Berry

*

Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: At critical year"s 2175forals.com Rankings Summit, ns pushed difficult for T.Y. Hilton since I love players that are qualified of single-handedly to win a main or two for mine teams. I got a lot of pushback due to the fact that of the inconsistent production we observed from him approximately that time. Fair enough; Hilton deserve to be an all-or-nothing fantasy performer. Yet as a playmaking recipient in a potent happen attack, the "all" component can put you in the playoffs and aid win girlfriend a title. Bryant"s fantasy game is built from the very same cloth. Last year, as a rookie in the Steelers" potent happen attack, Bryant had a pair of 100-yard games, average 21.1 yards top top his 26 catches, and scored eight touchdowns in 10 games. Five of his captures were because that at least 35 yards, consisting of three the his TDs. His 11.2 yards per target ranked third -- one spot front of Hilton (10.5). V defenses keying top top teammate Antonio Brown, Bryant is going to have plenty the room to max the end his big-play an abilities this season. - Tom Carpenter

*

Marlon Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens: When it comes to wide receivers, a few skills-angled, late-round take away seemingly from nowhere room wise. That"s where Brown comes in; he"s most likely third, at best, ~ above the Ravens" depth chart, behind chasing-2014-stats Steve smith Sr. And shiny-new-toy Breshad Perriman, for this reason no one"s going come think of the as much of noþeles in fantasy. Yet Brown is a sizable 6-5, providing him the look at of a viable red region option despite 2014 statistics that speak to the contrary: He had zero together targets. Still, let"s not neglect facts: Brown had seven TDs top top 13 red ar targets during his 2013 rookie campaign; smith is 36 and also two years ago looked done; Perriman is a rookie facing a feasible adjustment period; and, perhaps most importantly, the pass-happy Marc Trestman is now the team"s offensive coordinator. - Tristan H. Cockcroft

Busts

*

Drew Brees, QB, new Orleans Saints: He"s tho a very great real-life NFL QB, right? but he"s coming off a under year (for him), as soon as he finished together the sixth-best fantasy quarterback. The doesn"t assist that there"s no scenario where shedding Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills and also Pierre thomas is an excellent for a quarterback"s fantasy value, particularly when that trio has actually been replaced just by C.J. Spiller. It"s not just the loss of receiving weapons yet the addition of more run-blocking assist via trade and the draft. Plus, based on reports we hear out of brand-new Orleans, every little thing points to a much much more balanced (read: run-oriented) attack. He"ll still be a top-10 guy, yet he"s in the Matt Ryan mid-to-late top-10 tier, no in the Aaron Rodgers/Andrew happy area -- and someone will certainly still breeze him together if the is. Don"t be the guy. - Matthew Berry

*

Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos: the saddens me to say "Peyton Manning" and "bust" in the very same sentence, but this is all about what I witnessed the final month of last season, as soon as Peyton plainly wasn"t ideal physically. (His 35 fantasy points indigenous Weeks 14-17 ranked 27th amongst QBs.) He"s 39, and I have an excellent concern the we"ve seen the last of consistently dominant Peyton. I just can"t pay the price it"ll take with so plenty of safer QBs qualified of placing solid numbers many rounds later. - Keith Lipscomb

*

Eli Manning, QB, new York Giants: In many leagues, there"s really no such thing as a "bust" QB, since if your male plays poorly, you can usually uncover another. Yet I hear folks phone call Eli a potential solid starter, and while I recognize Odell Beckham"s rookie year was exciting, just how many an ext times carry out we require to acquire blindsided by a devastating Manning start prior to we learn our lesson? Sure, Manning finished as fantasy"s No. 10 QB critical year, but he scored 12 point out or fewer six times and six point out or fewer 3 times. The roller-coaster ride just isn"t precious it. - Christopher Harris

*

DeMarco Murray, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: Murray carried the sphere 392 times and also had 449 complete touches during the consistent season, then included 44 an ext carries and 48 touch in two playoff games. The background of to run backs soaking up that huge of a workload is not great during their follow-up seasons. The ahead 28 to do it lost approximately 25 percent of their fantasy production and averaged 3.3 fewer games played the year after. Murray will likewise have to fend off Ryan Mathews and also Darren Sproles because that carries, with a committee method (to part degree) actually a wise relocate for the Eagles considering Murray"s 2014 workload. The said, such a committee angle is hardly a recipe because that first-round-caliber fantasy success. - Tristan H. Cockcroft

*

Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: The Stewart love this year is way overblown. He had actually just two games throughout last year"s regular season in i beg your pardon he surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark. His adversaries those games: the new Orleans Saints and the Cleveland Browns, every of who finished in the bottom four in rushing yardage allowed. That isn"t great close to the goal, either. If you rank the touchdown-conversion price of the 30 running backs with at least seven tote from your opponents" 5-yard line or closer, Stewart perfect 24th. - Ken Daube

*

Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs: We saw DeSean Jackson walk from top-10 in fantasy to relative statistical afterthought as soon as he left the Eagles for a lesser offense, and also the very same thing will happen to Maclin. Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith simply cannot throw the ball downfield, and the truth that no one of his vast receivers caught a touchdown pass last season wasn"t specifically on them. Maclin is talented, however those expecting one more 1,300 receiving yards or 10 touchdowns space ignoring vital information. - Eric Karabell

*

Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: Just around everything about the Broncos" instance points towards this offense leaning top top the run video game a lot an ext this season. That will certainly likely an outcome in at least 50-100 targets being taken far from Denver pass-catchers. If Sanders loses just 20 off his career-high 141-target pace, he would certainly likely already drop exterior of the top 20 in this category, and also it would certainly not be a shock to check out him shed even more targets than that. Quality deserve to only walk so much to make up for a lack of quantity, so it would certainly not it is in a surprise to watch Sanders drop come WR3 are this year. - KC Joyner

*

Brandin Cooks, WR, brand-new Orleans Saints: There"s a lot to like around Brandin Cooks" game, as he"s shifty, elusive and also a menace to handle in open space. But he theatre a place -- slot recipient -- the isn"t often conducive come finding the finish zone frequently. He"s slotted together our 16th wide receiver, yet I just think the absence of touchdowns will certainly be an concern from a fantasy perspective. Grabbing 100 catches seems reasonable because that Cooks, but so, too, go just 5 scores. - ar Yates

*

Antonio Gates, TE, mountain Diego Chargers: All but two of us on the panel provided Julius thomas as our top bust at tight end. The surely will certainly not fare as well having left Peyton Manning and the Broncos" No. 4 passing violation for Blake Bortles and also the Jaguars" No. 31 passing offense. However, the bust tags has more to do with ADP, and I wouldn"t it is in surprised if Thomas falls far enough in draft to develop some decent value. Thomas went in ring 11 at No. 104 in our initial mock draft, while entrances was the 91st pick. I think through his surname recognition and also coming turn off a 12-touchdown project last season, entrances will go rather a bit higher in non-expert leagues. That"s going to it is in a risky pick, though, considering he will certainly be 35. Come his credit, he has actually missed just one video game in the previous three seasons, but he battled foot and also toe injuries indigenous 2010-11, and it wouldn"t be how amazing if the Chargers leaned top top Ladarius Green early to keep entrances in tip-top form for the postseason. Don"t with too far for him in your drafts. - Tom Carpenter

Breakouts

*

Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Minnesota Vikings: Bridgewater closed the end the 2014 season on a tear, tie for the league-leading completion percentage of 72.1 percent and also leading all QBs in upright yards per attempt end the last five weeks that the campaign. His prorated pace of 250 fantasy point out in the time structure is near top-10-caliber, and also that was before Adrian Peterson and also Mike Wallace joined the Vikings" lineup. There is low-end QB1 potential here. - KC Joyner

*

Jeremy Hill, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Hill is ~ above the precipice of our top-10 to run backs, but the door appears open come him check in among the top 5 by season"s end. Think about his final nine gamings last season (the allude at which that earned a an ext consistent role): 172 carries, 929 yards (105 much more than any other NFL player), 5.4 yards per lug (highest amongst all qualifying to run backs) and six touchdowns. He"s the unchallenged goal-line earlier in Cincinnati and has some wiggle to boot: He had actually three carries of 60 or an ext yards last season. - ar Yates

*

Joseph Randle, RB, Dallas Cowboys: Look, us all recognize fantasy stardom is all about talent and also opportunity. The opportunity for Randle is obvious, together he is the incumbent to be DeMarco Murray"s replacement in Dallas. In a run-first violation behind the league"s finest offensive line, many running backs can put up fantasy-worthy numbers. Provided our definition of "breakout" below -- a man who could leap into the upper echelon -- Randle certainly qualifies. Yes, his numbers from last year -- averaging more than 6 yards a carry, ranking top-10 in rushing yards after contact average -- every scream small-sample size. I get it. It doesn"t prove anything. Dallas has had avenues to get others to change Murray and, discovering what it has in Randle, it"s just chosen to obtain Darren McFadden, who has yet to present he have the right to be a true 16-game workhorse in the NFL. Randle will get at least 250 touch this year behind that attack line, and also a year from currently we"ll it is in talking around "top-10 fantasy running earlier Joseph Randle." - Matthew Berry

*

Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams: The rookie could not have landed in a much better spot, as coach Jeff Fisher has always preferred leaning top top one workhorse running back. We also know that Rams rookies have the right to step appropriate in and have success in ~ this position. Critical year, Fisher gained six gamings of 80-plus linked yards the end of third-round rookie Tre Mason. The year prior, that coaxed 4 100-yard games and seven TDs out of fifth-round rookie Zac Stacy. Unequal them, Gurley is supremely talented and has been compared to the likes that Adrian Peterson, that cranked out 1,608 combined yards and 13 TDs together a rookie. Us can"t expect that type of in its entirety production native Gurley, since he is coming off ACL surgery and should it is in eased into his rookie campaign. Yet don"t it is in surprised if Gurley to adjust the fantasy human being on fire when he it s okay up to speed for the second fifty percent of the season and the fantasy playoffs. - Tom Carpenter